Journal of Adolescent Health
Volume 46, Issue 3 , Pages 265-269 , March 2010

Adolescents' Perceived Risk of Dying

  • Baruch Fischhoff, Ph.D.

      Affiliations

    • Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
    • Corresponding Author InformationAddress correspondence to: Baruch Fischhoff, Ph.D., Carnegie Mellon University, Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890.
  • ,
  • Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Ph.D.

      Affiliations

    • Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • ,
  • Andrew M. Parker, Ph.D.

      Affiliations

    • RAND Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • ,
  • Susan G. Millstein, Ph.D.

      Affiliations

    • Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California
  • ,
  • Bonnie L. Halpern-Felsher, Ph.D.

      Affiliations

    • Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California

Received 15 October 2008 ,Accepted 30 June 2009.

References 

  1. Quadrel MJ, Fischhoff B, Davis W. Adolescent (in)vulnerability. Am Psychol. 1993;48:102–116
  2. Millstein SG, Halpern-Felsher BL. Judgments about risk and perceived invulnerability in adolescents and young adults. J Res Adolesc. 2002;12:399–422
  3. Center for Human Resource Research. NLSY97 Users Guide. Columbus: Ohio State University, Center for Human Resource Research; 1998;
  4. Gardner P, Rosenberg HM, Wilson RW. Leading causes of death by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin: United States, 1992. National Center for Health Statistics. Vital Health Statistics; 1996;series 20, no. 29
  5. Fischhoff B, Parker AM, Bruine de Bruin W, et al. Teen expectations for significant life events. Public Opin Q. 2000;64:189–205
  6. Bruine de Bruin W, Parker A, Fischhoff B. Can adolescents predict significant events in their lives?. J Adolesc Health. 2007;41:208–210
  7. Hurd M, McGarry K. Evaluation of the subjective probabilities of survival in the Health and Retirement Survey. J Hum Resources. 1995;30:S268–S292
  8. Hurd M, McGarry K. The predictive validity of subjective probabilities of survival. Econ J. 2002;112:966–985
  9. Fischhoff B. Assessing adolescent decision-making competence. Dev Rev. 2008;28:12–28
  10. Furby L. Beyth-Marom R. Risk taking in adolescence: A decision-making perspective. Dev Rev. 1992;12:1–44
  11. Jacobs JE, Klaczynski PA. The development of judgment and decision making during childhood and adolescence. Curr Direct Psychol Sci. 2002;11:145–149
  12. Reyna VF, Farley F. Risk and rationality in adolescent decision making. Psychol Pub Interest. 2006;7:1–44
  13. Cohn LD, Macfarlane S, Yanez C, Imai WK. Risk perception: Differences between adolescents and adults. Health Psychol. 1995;14:217–222
  14. Lerner JS, Keltner D. Fear, anger, and risk. J Pers Soc Psychol. 2001;81:146–159
  15. Loewenstein GF, Weber EU, Hsee CK, Welch N. Risk as feelings. Psychological Bulletin. 2001;127:267–286
  16. Slovic P, Peters E, Finucane ML, MacGregor DG. Affect, risk, and decision making. Health Psychol. 2005;24:S35–S40
  17. Bruine de Bruin W, Fischhoff B, Millstein SG, Halpern-Felsher BL. Verbal and numerical expressions of probability: “It's a fifty-fifty chance.”. Org Behav Hum Decis Processes. 2000;81:115–131
  18. Fischhoff B. Bruine de Bruin W. Fifty-fifty = 50%?. J Behav Decis Mak. 1999;12:149–163
  19. Bruine de Bruin W, Fischbeck PS, Stiber NA, Fischhoff B. What number is “fifty-fifty”?: Redistributing excessive 50s in elicited probabilities. Risk Anal. 2002;22:713–723
  20. Moore W, Pedlow S, Krishnamurty P, Wolter K. National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 (NLSY1997). Technical Sampling Report. Chicago: National Opinion Research Center; 2000;
  21. Halpern-Felsher BL, Millstein SG, Ellen JM, et al. The role of behavioral experience in judging risks. Health Psychol. 2001;20:120–126
  22. Lerner JS, Gonzalez RM, Small DA, Fischhoff B. Effects of fear and anger on perceived risks of terrorism: A national field experiment. Psychol Sci. 2003;14:144–150
  23. Siegel S, Castellan NJ. Nonparametric Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. Boston: McGraw-Hill; 1988;
  24. Goodman LA, Kruskal WH. Measures of association for cross classifications. J Am Stat Assoc. 1954;49:732–764
  25. Strube MJ. Combining and comparing significance levels from nonindependent hypothesis tests. Psychol Bull. 1985;97:334–341
  26. Tversky A, Kahneman D. Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability. Cogn Psychol. 1973;5:207–232
  27. Parker AM, Fischhoff B. Decision-making competence: External validation through an individual-differences approach. J Behav Decis Mak. 2005;18:1–27

PII: S1054-139X(09)00263-8

doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2009.06.026

Journal of Adolescent Health
Volume 46, Issue 3 , Pages 265-269 , March 2010